Grocery price inflation has fallen to 3.2% over the four weeks to 14 April, marking the fourteenth monthly drop in a row, according to new figures from Worldpanel by Kantar. The decline has been aided by a significant increase in promotional spending, with items bought on offer making up 29.3% of supermarket sales – the highest level outside of Christmas since June 2021. Overall take-home grocery sales rose by 3.3% this month.
Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Worldpanel by Kantar, comments: “We’ve been monitoring steady annual growth in promotions over the past 11 months as retailers respond to consumers’ desire for value. Deals helped shoppers save a massive £1.3 billion in the latest four weeks, almost £46 per household. This emphasis on offers, coupled with falling prices in some categories like toilet tissues, butter and milk, has helped to bring the rate of grocery inflation down for shoppers at the till.”
An early Easter didn’t dent seasonal sales, as spending on confectionery topped £100 million for the first time ever in the seven days up to and including Easter Sunday. Fraser McKevitt continues: “Higher prices have played a role in reaching that record spend figure, but the number of chocolate eggs sold in the seven days to Easter was also 3% higher this spring than last, with 37% of consumers buying one in that week. Hot cross buns were even more popular, enjoyed by 45% of Britons.
“The growth in confectionery also reflects a broader trend towards snacking in British diets. Over the past decade, there’s been an increase in almost all types of snacks. Consumers munched on chocolate confectionery 93 million more times in the year to June 2023 than in the twelve months to June 2013. Fruit has also bumped up the list of Britain’s snack choices – 314 million more pieces of fruit were eaten between meals in 2023 than in 2013.”
With the Easter celebrations over, both shoppers and retailers will now be looking ahead to the two bank holidays in May. Excluding the Coronation, the weeks before the two standard long weekends in May 2023 saw an average increase in sales of £82 million, representing a 3% uplift in spend.
Ocado was again the fastest growing grocer this month, improving sales by 12.5% in the 12 weeks to 14 April, ahead of the total online market which grew by 6.8%. The retailer accounted for 1.9% of take-home grocery sales, up from the 1.7% it held a year ago. Meanwhile, total online reached a share of 12.0% for the first time since July 2022.
Britain’s two largest grocers, Tesco and Sainsbury’s, both gained 0.4 percentage points of share in the latest 12 weeks, holding 27.4% and 15.3% of the market respectively. Sainsbury’s’ sales increased by 6.8% and Tesco grew by 5.9%.
Lidl achieved a record 8.0% share of the market, also up by 0.4 percentage points versus a year ago, fuelled by sales growth of 9.1%. Fellow discounter Aldi reclaimed the 10.0% market share it last held in September 2023, increasing sales by 2.8%.
Morrisons held its portion of the market flat at 8.7%, the best share performance for the retailer since 2021, with spending through its tills up by 3.8%. Waitrose and Iceland also retained their market share positions at 4.5% and 2.2% respectively. Both retailers saw sales growth of 3.7%.
Asda now holds 13.4% of the market, while Co-op accounts for 5.4%.
| Total Till Roll – Consumer Spend | 12 weeks to 16 Apr 2023 | Share | 12 weeks to 14 Apr 2024 | Share | Change YoY |
| £m | % | £m | % | % | |
| Total Grocers | 32,514 | 100.0% | 33,917 | 100.0% | 4.3% |
| Total Multiples | 31,998 | 98.4% | 33,400 | 98.5% | 4.4% |
| Tesco | 8,764 | 27.0% | 9,283 | 27.4% | 5.9% |
| Sainsbury’s | 4,845 | 14.9% | 5,176 | 15.3% | 6.8% |
| Asda | 4,552 | 14.0% | 4,536 | 13.4% | -0.4% |
| Aldi | 3,285 | 10.1% | 3,376 | 10.0% | 2.8% |
| Morrisons | 2,832 | 8.7% | 2,939 | 8.7% | 3.8% |
| Lidl | 2,473 | 7.6% | 2,697 | 8.0% | 9.1% |
| Co-op | 1,844 | 5.7% | 1,842 | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| Waitrose | 1,479 | 4.5% | 1,534 | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Iceland | 728 | 2.2% | 755 | 2.2% | 3.7% |
| Ocado | 567 | 1.7% | 638 | 1.9% | 12.5% |
| Other Multiples | 629 | 1.9% | 625 | 1.8% | -0.6% |
| Symbols & Independents | 516 | 1.6% | 517 | 1.5% | 0.1% |
An update on inflation
Grocery inflation now stands at 4.1%† for the 12-week period ending 14 April 2024. Prices are rising fastest in markets such as sugar confectionery, chocolate confectionery and chilled fruit juices & drinks, and are falling fastest in toilet tissues, butter and milk.
† This figure is based on over 75,000 identical products compared year on year in the proportions purchased by British shoppers and therefore represents the most authoritative figure currently available. It is a “pure” inflation measure in that shopping behaviour is held constant between the two comparison periods – shoppers are likely to achieve a lower personal inflation rate if they trade down or seek out more offers.
Kantar’s data visualisation tool allows you to view and analyse grocery market share data online. The latest sales share figures for all of the major grocers can be viewed and compared with historical figures and all graphics within the Kantar dataviz are available to embed in your site.
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